CASE85 · Buildings · Central boiler / HDD schedule

Using heating degree days to guide central-boiler operating hours

A historical-weather model replaces stepped minimum-temperature schedules with an HDD-based daily runtime guide. The result is an operating-hour potential, not a measured fuel saving.

01 · CASE ANALYSIS

Define the model and heating season

The source uses 2023 Daejeon hourly temperatures and January–March plus November–December heating operation. Existing starts were 04:30, 09:00, 16:00 and 21:00.

The source HDD expression is 18 − (daily maximum + daily minimum temperature) / 2. The guide uses this temperature-based demand index to determine total daily boiler hours.

02 · CASE ANALYSIS

Compare the existing and proposed guides

Existing control assigned each of four runs a duration from daily minimum temperature: 0, 0.50, 1.00, 1.50, 1.67 or 1.83 hours.

The proposed guide uses 0 hours below HDD 5, 1 hour from 5 to below 9, and 2 hours from 9 to below 12. At HDD 12 it moves to 4.0 hours, increasing linearly to 7.3 hours at HDD 30 with a 7.3-hour cap.

HDD-based daily guide
HDD rangeTotal runtime
HDD < 50 h/day
5 ≤ HDD < 91 h/day
9 ≤ HDD < 122 h/day
HDD ≥ 124.0 h at HDD 12 → 7.3 h at HDD 30; cap 7.3 h

03 · CASE ANALYSIS

Interpret the simulated annual result

Reported existing runtime was 843.8 h/year and proposed runtime 528.9 h/year, a difference of 314.9 h/year or 37.32%.

These are simulation results for operating hours. Boiler capacity, part-load efficiency and metered fuel are not provided to justify an identical gas-saving percentage.

04 · CASE ANALYSIS

Calibrate and verify at the site

Allocate total daily hours across the four operating periods and check room temperature, supply/return temperatures, complaints and actual gas. Trial mild conditions before widening the operating range.

Separate space heating from domestic-hot-water demand when meters combine them. Actual fuel savings require a weather-adjusted baseline and measured reporting consumption.

Reported monthly runtime (rounded)
MonthExistingProposedSource difference
January210.7 h156.8 h53.9 h
February180.9 h125.0 h56.0 h
March138.0 h43.4 h94.7 h
November139.5 h81.8 h57.7 h
December174.7 h122.0 h52.7 h
Annual843.8 h528.9 h314.9 h

Source-value comparison

Modeled annual heating runtimeExisting guide843.8 hoursHDD guide528.9 hours
Historical-weather simulation: runtime potential, not measured fuel savings.

Source figures · English edition

Figures correspond to those published in the Korean case. English titles, axes and legends are provided; published values and evidence boundaries are retained. Open a figure at full size to inspect small labels.

Annual modeled heating runtime: 2023 Daejeon weather
Annual modeled heating runtime: 2023 Daejeon weather

2023 Daejeon historical-weather simulation: 843.8 → 528.9 hours/year, runtime potential 314.9 hours / 37.32%. The chart is recreated from these explicit values; no fuel saving is inferred.

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Monthly boiler runtime: existing versus HDD guide
Monthly boiler runtime: existing versus HDD guide

Published monthly modeled runtime under existing and HDD-based guides. Monthly values are rounded and need not exactly reconcile with the annual totals at displayed precision.

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Daily heating degree days and modeled boiler runtime
Daily heating degree days and modeled boiler runtime

Original daily scatter points for the minimum-temperature schedule and HDD-based guide. These are modeled operating hours, not measured gas savings.

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